SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Husqvarna Garden
HV 71 — Brynas
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Missed
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Brynas to win (57% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.
Brynas are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Brynas are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: HV 71 — Brynas | 2.6–2.9 | |
| HV 71 to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap HV 71
- HV 71 goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 08.10away · Rogle3:4
- 03.10away · Farjestad1:3
- 01.10Orebro2:1 OT
- 29.09away · IF Bjorkloven2:4
- 26.09away · Vaxjo5:7
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Brynas — HV 713:4 OT
- 24.01.2026HV 71 — Brynas2:3
- 29.11.2025Brynas — HV 715:2
- 18.09.2025HV 71 — Brynas0:4
- 01.03.2025Brynas — HV 716:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 8 | 2 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | HV 71 | 8 | 1 | -5 | 8 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Timra | 8 | 1 | -7 | 7 |
Next matches
- TimraHV 7115 October · SHL62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- BrynasDjurgarden15 October · SHL71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.2
SHL on the same day
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 3:1.5.2
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →