AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Wells Fargo Arena
Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Iowa Wild to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Iowa Wild 51%, Rockford IceHogs 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Iowa Wild
- Iowa Wild goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
- 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6
- 18.04Manitoba Moose3:2 SO
- 16.04Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
- 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
- 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
- 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6
- 12.04away · Chicago Wolves2:4
- 12.04away · Grand Rapids Griffins5:2
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild4:5
- 05.04.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild0:4
- 04.04.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs2:5
- 30.03.2026Iowa Wild — Rockford IceHogs3:4 SO
- 29.03.2026Rockford IceHogs — Iowa Wild3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
Next match
- Iowa WildRockford IceHogs11 October · AHL52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
AHL on the same day
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%4:5SOFinal score 4:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:4.6.2
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%4:7Final score 4:7. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →