AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Acrisure Arena
Coachella Valley Firebirds — San Diego Gulls
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:3Came true
In short
Final score 6:3: the model's most likely outcome, Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (61% incl. overtime), came true.
Coachella Valley Firebirds are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Coachella Valley Firebirds are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coachella Valley Firebirds — San Diego Gulls | 3.3–2.6 | |
| Coachella Valley Firebirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Coachella Valley Firebirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Ontario Reign6:2
- 03.10Ontario Reign5:6 OT
- 21.05away · Colorado Eagles2:3
- 18.05away · Colorado Eagles1:4
- 16.05Colorado Eagles4:0
- 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
- 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
- 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6
- 23.04away · Colorado Eagles0:3
- 19.04Coachella Valley Firebirds4:6
Head to head
- 19.04.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds4:6
- 31.01.2026Coachella Valley Firebirds — San Diego Gulls3:4
- 18.01.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:4
- 03.01.2026San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds2:5
- 29.11.2025San Diego Gulls — Coachella Valley Firebirds0:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 10 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 4 | 2 | +5 | 6 | .750 |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5 | 3 | +4 | 7 | .700 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
Next matches
- San Diego GullsHenderson Silver Knights11 October · AHL47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:4.6.0
- Coachella Valley FirebirdsOntario Reign12 October · AHL51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:2.5.6
AHL on the same day
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%4:5SOFinal score 4:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:4.6.2
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%4:7Final score 4:7. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →