AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Tech CU Arena
San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:7Missed
In short
Final score 4:7: the model's most likely outcome, San Jose Barracuda to win (56% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.
San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- San Jose Barracuda are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners | 3.2–2.9 | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Barracuda
- San Jose Barracuda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 05.10San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
- 04.10San Diego Gulls1:5
- 25.04away · Henderson Silver Knights1:5
- 23.04away · Henderson Silver Knights4:5 OT
- 19.04Bakersfield Condors4:3 OT
- 05.10Colorado Eagles3:5
- 04.10Colorado Eagles0:2
- 19.04Henderson Silver Knights5:4
- 18.04Henderson Silver Knights2:1 SO
- 16.04away · San Diego Gulls5:1
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Jose Barracuda5:4
- 15.03.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Jose Barracuda6:4
- 02.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners4:6
- 01.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners5:3
- 18.01.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Jose Barracuda3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
Next match
- San Jose BarracudaTucson Roadrunners11 October · AHL55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
AHL on the same day
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%4:5SOFinal score 4:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%0:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:4.6.2
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →