DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Iserlohn Roosters — Kolner

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Model prediction for 16 October

Iserlohn Roosters29%
Draw in regulation20%
Kolner51%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Kolner are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iserlohn Roosters — Kolner2.5–3.2
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 11.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 09.10away · Straubing Tigers4:11
  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Kolner — Iserlohn Roosters4:2
  • 30.12.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Kolner4:7
  • 28.10.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Kolner1:3
  • 12.10.2025Kolner — Iserlohn Roosters3:1
  • 04.03.2025Kolner — Iserlohn Roosters3:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →