VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Izhevsk — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Izhevsk — HC Yugra | 1.5–2.5 | |
| Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 26% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 74% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 26% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 74% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Izhevsk
- Izhevsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
- 11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
- 03.10Kaluga1:3
- 01.10AKM4:3 OT
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
Head to head
- 22.12.2025Izhevsk — HC Yugra1:6
- 19.11.2025HC Yugra — Izhevsk4:2
- 02.03.2025Izhevsk — HC Yugra2:4
- 20.09.2024HC Yugra — Izhevsk4:1
- 21.12.2023Izhevsk — HC Yugra0:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- PermKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Toros NeftekamskRubin Tyumenpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKalugapreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →