VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Toros Neftekamsk — Rubin Tyumen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rubin Tyumen are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — Rubin Tyumen | 2.0–2.1 | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toros Neftekamsk
- Toros Neftekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
- 01.10Ryazan3:0
- 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
- 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
- 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 27.09HC Yugra4:3
Head to head
- 26.12.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Rubin Tyumen2:0
- 19.11.2025Rubin Tyumen — Toros Neftekamsk3:2
- 02.03.2025Toros Neftekamsk — Rubin Tyumen2:4
- 20.09.2024Rubin Tyumen — Toros Neftekamsk4:5 OT
- 15.12.2023Toros Neftekamsk — Rubin Tyumen2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
VHL on the same day
- PermKurganpreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
- IzhevskHC Yugrapreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.0
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKalugapreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →