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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Monday, 26 October, MSK

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — AKM

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Model prediction for 26 October

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg46%
Draw in regulation23%
AKM31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.

Why

  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — AKM2.5–2.1
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)36%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)64%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg

  • 12.10away · CSK VVS5:0
  • 05.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Khimik0:1
  • 30.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:1
  • 20.09Gornyak3:1

AKM

  • 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
  • 10.10Orsk3:0
  • 05.10away · Perm0:3
  • 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
  • 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026AKM — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
  • 05.11.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — AKM3:2
  • 12.12.2024AKM — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg2:3
  • 28.11.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — AKM3:1
  • 16.03.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — AKM0:1 OT

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, PlayoffsOrsk1283135–22+1319
6, PlayoffsAKM1483343–32+1119
7, PlayoffsMetallurg Novokuznetsk1483327–16+1119
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116
11, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • PermKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • Toros NeftekamskRubin Tyumenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
  • IzhevskHC Yugrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.0
  • Dinamo St. PetersburgKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →