Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Jukurit — Ilves
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ilves are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Ilves are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Jukurit — Ilves | 2.0–2.6 | |
| Jukurit to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Ilves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Jukurit
- Jukurit goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Jokerit3:0
- 09.10Lukko1:5
- 07.10away · Vaasan Sport1:2
- 03.10Kiekko-Espoo6:4
- 29.09Jukurit3:2
Head to head
- 29.09.2026Ilves — Jukurit3:2
- 14.02.2026Ilves — Jukurit6:2
- 24.01.2026Jukurit — Ilves2:3 OT
- 25.10.2025Ilves — Jukurit3:2
- 17.09.2025Jukurit — Ilves3:2
Table
Liiga on the same day
- KarpatKalPapreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- LukkoTPS Turkupreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Vaasan SportSaiPapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- Kiekko-EspooIFK Helsinkipreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →