Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Kiekko-Espoo — IFK Helsinki
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kiekko-Espoo are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Kiekko-Espoo are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kiekko-Espoo — IFK Helsinki | 2.8–2.2 | |
| Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| IFK Helsinki to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kiekko-Espoo
- Kiekko-Espoo goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10KalPa6:1
- 08.10away · Jokerit2:3 OT
- 03.10away · Vaasan Sport3:2 OT
- 26.09away · Pelicans1:2
- 25.09JYP3:4
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Kiekko-Espoo — IFK Helsinki4:0
- 17.01.2026IFK Helsinki — Kiekko-Espoo2:3
- 24.10.2025Kiekko-Espoo — IFK Helsinki1:0
- 12.09.2025IFK Helsinki — Kiekko-Espoo2:4
- 01.03.2025Kiekko-Espoo — IFK Helsinki4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | JYP | 10 | 7 | +5 | 21 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | SaiPa | 11 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | KalPa | 11 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
Liiga on the same day
- JukuritIlvespreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- KarpatKalPapreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- LukkoTPS Turkupreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Vaasan SportSaiPapreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →