VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Krasnoyarsk — Perm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Perm are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- Perm are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Krasnoyarsk — No. 29, 8 pts; Perm — No. 12, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Krasnoyarsk 3 wins, Perm 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Krasnoyarsk — Perm | 2.0–2.3 | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Krasnoyarsk
- Krasnoyarsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
- 11.10Izhevsk3:2
- 09.10Olympia3:4
- 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 01.10away · Dizel0:2
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Perm — Krasnoyarsk3:4 SO
- 28.10.2025Krasnoyarsk — Perm3:2 SO
- 12.01.2025Perm — Krasnoyarsk5:1
- 10.11.2024Krasnoyarsk — Perm0:4
- 04.03.2024Krasnoyarsk — Perm4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 78221The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →