VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK
Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Izhevsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2 SOCame true
In short
Final score 3:2 SO: the model's most likely outcome, Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (80% incl. overtime), came true.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Izhevsk | 3.2–1.6 | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 80% | |
| Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 20% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Metallurg Novokuznetsk
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Olympia2:0
- 05.10away · Kristall Saratov2:0
- 03.10away · Dizel2:0
- 01.10away · Tambov0:3
- 29.09away · Buran Voronezh1:2 SO
- 11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
- 03.10Kaluga1:3
- 01.10AKM4:3 OT
- 29.09Ryazan3:2 SO
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Izhevsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
- 03.11.2025Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Izhevsk1:3
- 12.01.2025Izhevsk — Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:5
- 10.11.2024Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Izhevsk6:5 OT
- 09.12.2023Metallurg Novokuznetsk — Izhevsk3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
Next matches
- Metallurg NovokuznetskToros Neftekamsk15 October · VHL77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- Dyn. AltayIzhevsk15 October · VHL50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
VHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.4
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%2:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 3:1.5.1
- 49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
- 79211The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.1
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →