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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Dyn. Altay — Olympia

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Model prediction and result

1:4Missed
Dyn. Altay46%
Draw in regulation23%
Olympia31%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Dyn. Altay to win (58% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Dyn. Altay are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • Dyn. Altay are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dyn. Altay — Olympia2.4–2.0
Dyn. Altay to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dyn. Altay
  • Dyn. Altay goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dyn. Altay

  • 07.10away · Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
  • 05.10away · Dizel1:3
  • 03.10away · Tambov0:2
  • 01.10away · Buran Voronezh2:4
  • 27.09Omskie Krylia1:5

Olympia

  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT
  • 29.09AKM4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 21.01.2026Olympia — Dyn. Altay3:2 SO
  • 30.10.2025Dyn. Altay — Olympia2:3
  • 06.01.2025Olympia — Dyn. Altay3:4
  • 16.11.2024Dyn. Altay — Olympia4:3 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • Dyn. AltayIzhevsk15 October · VHL
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
  • OlympiaOmskie Krylia18 October · VHL
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.5

VHL on the same day

  • KrasnoyarskToros Neftekamsk
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.4.4
  • Metallurg NovokuznetskIzhevsk
    1The most likely outcome came true: 118%Final score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
  • Omskie KryliaKristall Saratov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 7:1. Model's score: 3:1.5.1
  • KurganDizel
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 1:2.4.1
  • HC YugraBuran Voronezh
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 119%Final score 0:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.1
  • Rubin TyumenTambov
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →