NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Minnesota Wild — New York Islanders

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Model prediction for 30 October

Minnesota Wild43%
Draw in regulation23%
New York Islanders33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minnesota Wild are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Minnesota Wild are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Minnesota Wild — No. 9, 9 pts; New York Islanders — No. 20, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Wild 3 wins, New York Islanders 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Minnesota Wild — New York Islanders2.8–2.5
Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Minnesota Wild

  • 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
  • 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
  • 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
  • 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
  • 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT

New York Islanders

  • 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
  • 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0

Head to head

  • 11.01.2026Minnesota Wild — New York Islanders3:4 OT
  • 08.11.2025New York Islanders — Minnesota Wild2:5
  • 05.04.2025New York Islanders — Minnesota Wild3:1
  • 09.02.2025Minnesota Wild — New York Islanders6:3
  • 16.01.2024Minnesota Wild — New York Islanders5:0

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
10, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →