Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Mogilev — Gomel
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1:5Came true
In short
Final score 1:5: the model's most likely outcome, Gomel to win (67% incl. overtime), came true.
Gomel are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Gomel are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mogilev — Gomel | 2.2–3.1 | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Gomel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mogilev
- Mogilev goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Mogilev3:2
- 05.10Lokomotiv Orsha5:2
- 03.10Lokomotiv Orsha4:3
- 29.09away · Novopolotsk1:3
- 27.09away · Novopolotsk5:0
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Mogilev — Gomel2:3
- 24.01.2026Mogilev — Gomel2:1 SO
- 22.01.2026Mogilev — Gomel1:3
- 01.11.2025Gomel — Mogilev4:1
- 30.10.2025Gomel — Mogilev5:3
Next matches
- GomelSlavutych15 October · Belarus Extraleague45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Neman GrodnoMogilev16 October · Belarus Extraleague68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.7
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 41592The most likely outcome came true: 222%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 2:3.5.2
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
- 23772The most likely outcome came true: 219%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:3.4.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →