NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Bell Centre
Montreal Canadiens — Carolina Hurricanes
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:6Came true
In short
Final score 4:6: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (57% incl. overtime), came true.
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Carolina Hurricanes | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
- 30.09away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 30.05away · Carolina Hurricanes1:6
- 28.05Carolina Hurricanes0:4
- 26.05Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 04.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 03.10Washington Capitals2:5
- 30.09Florida Panthers0:1 OT
- 15.06away · Vegas Golden Knights3:0
- 12.06Vegas Golden Knights4:2
Head to head
- 30.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Montreal Canadiens6:1
- 28.05.2026Montreal Canadiens — Carolina Hurricanes0:4
- 26.05.2026Montreal Canadiens — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 24.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Montreal Canadiens3:2 OT
- 22.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Montreal Canadiens2:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
Next matches
- Montreal CanadiensNashville Predators9 October · NHL56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- Carolina HurricanesVancouver Canucks9 October · NHL71291The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.2
- 42582The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:6Final score 2:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →