NHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction and result

7:2Came true
Carolina Hurricanes59%
Draw in regulation20%
Vancouver Canucks21%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 7:2: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (71% incl. overtime), came true.

Carolina Hurricanes are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks3.5–2.3
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)71%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)29%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4
  • 04.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
  • 03.10Washington Capitals2:5
  • 30.09Florida Panthers0:1 OT
  • 15.06away · Vegas Golden Knights3:0

Vancouver Canucks

  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 04.10Calgary Flames4:1
  • 02.10Edmonton Oilers7:9
  • 30.09away · Edmonton Oilers6:5 OT
  • 17.04away · Edmonton Oilers1:6

Head to head

  • 05.03.2026Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes4:6
  • 15.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks4:3 OT
  • 11.01.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks2:0
  • 29.10.2024Vancouver Canucks — Carolina Hurricanes3:4 OT
  • 07.02.2024Carolina Hurricanes — Vancouver Canucks2:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →