NHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Bell Centre
Montreal Canadiens — Nashville Predators
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2:5Missed
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Montreal Canadiens to win (56% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.
Montreal Canadiens are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Montreal Canadiens are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Montreal Canadiens 5 wins, Nashville Predators 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens — Nashville Predators | 3.0–2.7 | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Montreal Canadiens
- Montreal Canadiens goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
- 30.09away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 30.05away · Carolina Hurricanes1:6
- 28.05Carolina Hurricanes0:4
- 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
- 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
- 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 17.04Anaheim Ducks4:5
- 14.04San Jose Sharks2:3
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Nashville Predators — Montreal Canadiens1:4
- 17.10.2025Montreal Canadiens — Nashville Predators3:2 OT
- 07.04.2025Nashville Predators — Montreal Canadiens1:2
- 06.12.2024Montreal Canadiens — Nashville Predators3:0
- 06.03.2024Nashville Predators — Montreal Canadiens3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
Next matches
- Montreal CanadiensDetroit Red Wings11 October · NHL65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%1:0SOFinal score 1:0 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- Ottawa SenatorsNashville Predators11 October · NHL63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%0:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 71291The most likely outcome came true: 120%7:2Final score 7:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.9
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.1
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.2
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 36642The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →