NHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche

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Model prediction for 26 October

Nashville Predators20%
Draw in regulation19%
Colorado Avalanche61%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche2.4–3.8
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)64%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)36%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 14.10Vegas Golden Knights2:5
  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1

Colorado Avalanche

  • 14.10away · Dallas Stars3:2
  • 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
  • 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
  • 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — Nashville Predators3:7
  • 14.12.2025Colorado Avalanche — Nashville Predators4:2
  • 10.12.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche4:3 SO
  • 23.11.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche0:3
  • 23.02.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche2:1

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
11, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23San Jose Sharks530213–17-46

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →