NHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Winnipeg Jets 50%, Montreal Canadiens 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Winnipeg Jets — No. 10, 9 pts; Montreal Canadiens — No. 18, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Winnipeg Jets 2 wins, Montreal Canadiens 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens | 2.7–2.7 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
- 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
- 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens1:5
- 04.12.2025Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets3:2 SO
- 29.01.2025Montreal Canadiens — Winnipeg Jets1:4
- 15.12.2024Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens4:2
- 19.12.2023Winnipeg Jets — Montreal Canadiens2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Dallas StarsNew York Islanderspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Nashville PredatorsColorado Avalanchepreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 219%Model's score: 2:56.1
- Vancouver CanucksMinnesota Wildpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →