NHL · Monday, 26 October, MSK

Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche

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Model prediction for 26 October

Nashville Predators20%
Draw in regulation20%
Colorado Avalanche60%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.

Why

  • Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche2.4–3.7
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)27%
Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout)73%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)64%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)36%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
  • 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3

Colorado Avalanche

  • 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
  • 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
  • 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
  • 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — Nashville Predators3:7
  • 14.12.2025Colorado Avalanche — Nashville Predators4:2
  • 10.12.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche4:3 SO
  • 23.11.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche0:3
  • 23.02.2025Nashville Predators — Colorado Avalanche2:1

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets531113–15-27
15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche530226–17+96
16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceWashington Capitals530217–14+36
17Nashville Predators522114–1406
18San Jose Sharks530213–17-46

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →