NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Nashville Predators — New York Islanders

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Model prediction for 28 October

Nashville Predators37%
Draw in regulation24%
New York Islanders40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Nashville Predators 48%, New York Islanders 52% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Nashville Predators — No. 22, 6 pts; New York Islanders — No. 20, 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nashville Predators 3 wins, New York Islanders 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nashville Predators — New York Islanders2.6–2.7
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Nashville Predators

  • 14.10Vegas Golden Knights2:5
  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1

New York Islanders

  • 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
  • 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026New York Islanders — Nashville Predators3:4
  • 09.01.2026Nashville Predators — New York Islanders2:1 SO
  • 09.04.2025Nashville Predators — New York Islanders7:6 OT
  • 01.03.2025New York Islanders — Nashville Predators7:4
  • 07.04.2024New York Islanders — Nashville Predators2:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →