NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction and result

3:5Came true
New Jersey Devils34%
Draw in regulation24%
Utah Mammoth42%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:5: the model's most likely outcome, Utah Mammoth to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.

Facts

  • Last 4 meetings: New Jersey Devils 4 wins, Utah Mammoth 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Utah Mammoth2.5–2.8
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap New Jersey Devils
  • New Jersey Devils goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
  • 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
  • 15.04away · Boston Bruins0:4
  • 13.04Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
  • 12.04away · Detroit Red Wings5:3

Utah Mammoth

  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
  • 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1
  • 02.10Chicago Blackhawks6:0
  • 02.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
  • 30.04away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT

Head to head

  • 03.01.2026New Jersey Devils — Utah Mammoth4:1
  • 20.12.2025Utah Mammoth — New Jersey Devils1:2
  • 02.03.2025Utah Mammoth — New Jersey Devils1:3
  • 14.10.2024New Jersey Devils — Utah Mammoth3:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
22Nashville Predators622216–19-36
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →