NHL · Friday, 9 October, MSK · TD Garden

Boston Bruins — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction and result

6:1Missed
Boston Bruins36%
Draw in regulation23%
Utah Mammoth41%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 6:1: the model's most likely outcome, Utah Mammoth to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Utah Mammoth2.7–2.9
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Boston Bruins

  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
  • 30.09New York Rangers3:0
  • 02.05Buffalo Sabres1:4

Utah Mammoth

  • 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
  • 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1
  • 02.10Chicago Blackhawks6:0
  • 02.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5

Head to head

  • 17.12.2025Boston Bruins — Utah Mammoth4:1
  • 20.10.2025Utah Mammoth — Boston Bruins3:2
  • 22.11.2024Boston Bruins — Utah Mammoth1:0
  • 20.10.2024Utah Mammoth — Boston Bruins2:1 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken640226–17+98
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth640222–15+78
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks540118–13+58

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →