NHL · Monday, 2 November, MSK

New York Rangers — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 2 November

New York Rangers44%
Draw in regulation22%
Edmonton Oilers33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New York Rangers are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.

Why

  • New York Rangers are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.

Facts

  • League table: New York Rangers — No. 2, 12 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 4, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Edmonton Oilers: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Rangers 1 win, Edmonton Oilers 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Rangers — Edmonton Oilers3.1–2.8
New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)61%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)39%

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Form

New York Rangers

  • 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
  • 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
  • 07.10New York Islanders5:2
  • 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2

Edmonton Oilers

  • 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
  • 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
  • 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
  • 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7

Head to head

  • 31.10.2025Edmonton Oilers — New York Rangers3:4 OT
  • 15.10.2025New York Rangers — Edmonton Oilers0:2
  • 17.03.2025New York Rangers — Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 24.11.2024Edmonton Oilers — New York Rangers6:2
  • 23.12.2023New York Rangers — Edmonton Oilers3:4

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →