NHL · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Philadelphia Flyers — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction for 2 November

Philadelphia Flyers33%
Draw in regulation24%
Utah Mammoth43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Utah Mammoth2.4–2.7
Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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Form

Philadelphia Flyers

  • 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
  • 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
  • 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
  • 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
  • 04.10Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT

Utah Mammoth

  • 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
  • 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
  • 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
  • 04.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets4:1

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Utah Mammoth0:3
  • 22.01.2026Utah Mammoth — Philadelphia Flyers5:4 OT
  • 05.02.2025Utah Mammoth — Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
  • 09.12.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Utah Mammoth2:4

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken640226–17+98
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth640222–15+78
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
30Chicago Blackhawks610512–26-142
31Philadelphia Flyers70258–28-202
32Calgary Flames50058–27-190

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →