NHL · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Anaheim Ducks — Ottawa Senators

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Model prediction for 2 November

Anaheim Ducks40%
Draw in regulation23%
Ottawa Senators37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Anaheim Ducks 51%, Ottawa Senators 49% including overtime.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Ottawa Senators3.0–3.0
Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)62%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)38%

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Form

Anaheim Ducks

  • 14.10Calgary Flames2:4
  • 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
  • 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
  • 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
  • 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT

Ottawa Senators

  • 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
  • 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
  • 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
  • 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
  • 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Ottawa Senators — Anaheim Ducks2:0
  • 21.11.2025Anaheim Ducks — Ottawa Senators2:3
  • 12.12.2024Ottawa Senators — Anaheim Ducks5:1
  • 02.12.2024Anaheim Ducks — Ottawa Senators4:3 SO
  • 07.03.2024Anaheim Ducks — Ottawa Senators2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceAnaheim Ducks640220–17+38
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →