DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · PSD Bank Nurnberg Arena
Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Adler Mannheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:5Came true
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Adler Mannheim to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Adler Mannheim are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Adler Mannheim are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Adler Mannheim | 2.6–2.9 | |
| Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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Form
- 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
- 02.10Schwenninger5:0
- 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO
- 25.09away · Frankfurt Lowen2:1
- 22.09Adler Mannheim5:3
- 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
- 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
- 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT
- 25.09Krefeld Pinguine4:1
- 22.09away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:5
Head to head
- 22.09.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Adler Mannheim5:3
- 16.01.2026Adler Mannheim — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:4
- 30.12.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Adler Mannheim2:3 OT
- 02.11.2025Adler Mannheim — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2:4
- 03.10.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Adler Mannheim1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Eisbaren Berlin | 8 | 6 | +19 | 20 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 8 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
Next matches
- KolnerNurnberg Ice Tigers11 October · DEL62381The most likely outcome came true: 120%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:2, exactly right.5.9
- Adler MannheimStraubing Tigers11 October · DEL57431The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
DEL on the same day
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%3:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 2:4.5.9
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 120%5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
- 63371The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 120%11:4Final score 11:4. Model's score: 4:2.5.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →