DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Curt-Frenzel-Stadion

Augsburger Panther — Bremerhaven

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Model prediction and result

3:0Missed
Augsburger Panther28%
Draw in regulation20%
Bremerhaven51%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bremerhaven to win (63% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Bremerhaven are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.

Why

  • Bremerhaven are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Augsburger Panther — Bremerhaven2.6–3.3
Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)59%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)41%

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Form

Augsburger Panther

  • 04.10away · Munchen2:4
  • 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
  • 27.09Kolner4:6
  • 24.09away · Iserlohn Roosters3:2 SO
  • 20.09Schwenninger7:3

Bremerhaven

  • 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
  • 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
  • 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3
  • 25.09Munchen1:4
  • 20.09Iserlohn Roosters2:1

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Augsburger Panther — Bremerhaven1:2
  • 14.12.2025Bremerhaven — Augsburger Panther2:1 OT
  • 28.10.2025Augsburger Panther — Bremerhaven2:5
  • 17.10.2025Bremerhaven — Augsburger Panther3:4 SO
  • 19.02.2025Bremerhaven — Augsburger Panther1:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →