DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Lanxess Arena
Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Came true
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Kolner to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.
Kolner are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Kolner are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 3.3–2.6 | |
| Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kolner
- Kolner goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Schwenninger1:4
- 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
- 02.10Munchen2:4
- 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4
- 25.09Eisbaren Berlin5:6 SO
- 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
- 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
- 02.10Schwenninger5:0
- 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO
- 25.09away · Frankfurt Lowen2:1
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
- 06.01.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Kolner2:4
- 05.12.2025Kolner — Nurnberg Ice Tigers7:4
- 21.09.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Kolner2:4
- 21.02.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Kolner1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Adler Mannheim | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 9 | 5 | +6 | 16 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Munchen | 8 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Krefeld Pinguine | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kolner | 8 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
Next matches
- Iserlohn RoostersKolner16 October · DEL37632The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.6
- BremerhavenNurnberg Ice Tigers16 October · DEL61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
DEL on the same day
- 72281The most likely outcome did not happen: 118%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.8
- 75251The most likely outcome did not happen: 117%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:2.6.2
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%0:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%3:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:4.5.3
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →