Olympia — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 78% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 23%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olympia — HC Yugra | 1.3–2.6 | |
| Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 22% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 78% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 23% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Olympia
- Olympia goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
- 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
- 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
- 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
Head to head
- 20.12.2025Olympia — HC Yugra4:5 SO
- 13.11.2025HC Yugra — Olympia2:1
- 26.02.2025Olympia — HC Yugra0:4
- 24.09.2024HC Yugra — Olympia1:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 12 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 24 | Olympia | 14 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
VHL on the same day
- Dinamo St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
- PermOmskie Kryliapreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- IzhevskRubin Tyumenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →