VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Olympia — HC Yugra

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Model prediction for 24 October

Olympia16%
Draw in regulation21%
HC Yugra63%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

HC Yugra are clear favourites: 78% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 23%.

Why

  • HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olympia — HC Yugra1.3–2.6
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)22%
HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout)78%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)23%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)77%

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Form

Olympia

  • 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT

HC Yugra

  • 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
  • 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
  • 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
  • 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2

Head to head

  • 20.12.2025Olympia — HC Yugra4:5 SO
  • 13.11.2025HC Yugra — Olympia2:1
  • 26.02.2025Olympia — HC Yugra0:4
  • 24.09.2024HC Yugra — Olympia1:2 OT

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1361637–42-513
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212
22Dizel1352629–31-212
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →