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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Ryazan

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Model prediction for 24 October

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg43%
Draw in regulation24%
Ryazan33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.

Why

  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 16 pts; Ryazan — No. 18, 14 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 2 wins, Ryazan 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Ryazan2.2–1.9
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)26%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)74%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
  • SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

SKA-VMF St. Petersburg

  • 12.10away · CSK VVS5:0
  • 05.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:0
  • 02.10away · Khimik0:1
  • 30.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:1
  • 20.09Gornyak3:1

Ryazan

  • 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
  • 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
  • 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
  • 03.10away · Perm0:1
  • 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Ryazan — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg4:0
  • 03.11.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Ryazan5:2
  • 08.12.2024Ryazan — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg4:1
  • 30.11.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Ryazan2:0
  • 23.01.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Ryazan2:3 OT

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, PlayoffsKhimik1482446–28+1818
10, PlayoffsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg1280432–21+1116
11, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716
17Toros Neftekamsk1362530–31-114
18Ryazan1554630–32-214
19Rubin Tyumen1270529–32-314

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • Dinamo St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
  • Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
  • PermOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • IzhevskRubin Tyumenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
  • OlympiaHC Yugrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:33.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →