VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Izhevsk — Rubin Tyumen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rubin Tyumen are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- Rubin Tyumen are more dangerous in attack: 2.3 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Izhevsk — Rubin Tyumen | 2.0–2.3 | |
| Izhevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Izhevsk
- Izhevsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3 SO
- 11.10away · Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 08.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
- 03.10Kaluga1:3
- 01.10AKM4:3 OT
- 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
- 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
- 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 27.09HC Yugra4:3
Head to head
- 24.12.2025Izhevsk — Rubin Tyumen0:1 SO
- 21.11.2025Rubin Tyumen — Izhevsk2:7
- 28.02.2025Izhevsk — Rubin Tyumen2:3 SO
- 22.09.2024Rubin Tyumen — Izhevsk4:1
- 19.12.2023Izhevsk — Rubin Tyumen2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Dinamo St. PetersburgAKMpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.3
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
- PermOmskie Kryliapreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- OlympiaHC Yugrapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:33.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →