VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo St. Petersburg are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Dinamo St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 20, 13 pts; AKM — No. 6, 19 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Dinamo St. Petersburg 4 wins, AKM 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Dinamo St. Petersburg 10, AKM 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM | 2.9–2.4 | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
- Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Bars2:4
- 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
- 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
- 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
- 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
- 10.10Orsk3:0
- 05.10away · Perm0:3
- 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
- 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT
Head to head
- 18.01.2026AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2 SO
- 03.11.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM5:3
- 16.12.2024AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4 OT
- 30.11.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM1:0
- 10.02.2024AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 14 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
- PermOmskie Kryliapreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- IzhevskRubin Tyumenpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- OlympiaHC Yugrapreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:33.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →