VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Orsk — Krasnoyarsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Orsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 24%.
Why
- Orsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.1 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orsk — Krasnoyarsk | 2.1–1.8 | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 24% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 76% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orsk
- Orsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Kaluga2:1 SO
- 10.10away · AKM0:3
- 08.10away · Ryazan3:2 OT
- 30.09Bars4:0
- 28.09Almetyevsk2:1
- 13.10Toros Neftekamsk2:0
- 11.10Izhevsk3:2
- 09.10Olympia3:4
- 03.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 01.10away · Dizel0:2
Head to head
- 04.02.2026Krasnoyarsk — Orsk0:1
- 14.10.2025Orsk — Krasnoyarsk1:3
- 12.03.2025Orsk — Krasnoyarsk1:3
- 08.09.2024Krasnoyarsk — Orsk3:4 OT
- 16.12.2023Krasnoyarsk — Orsk4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs | AKM | 14 | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 13 | 3 | -11 | 8 |
| 29 | Krasnoyarsk | 14 | 4 | -13 | 8 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | -24 | 8 |
VHL on the same day
- Magnitka MagnitogorskHC Norilskpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
- AlmetyevskCSK VVSpreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3
- DizelBuran Voronezhpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →