VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 21 October, 19:00 MSK

Dizel — Buran Voronezh

Model prediction for 21 October

Dizel49%

Draw in regulation23%

Buran Voronezh28%

Model estimate at 20:53 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dizel are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.

Why

Dizel are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Buran Voronezh		2.4–1.8
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		62%
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)		38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		30%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		70%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Dizel
Dizel goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Dizel

13.10away · Kurgan3:4
11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0

Buran Voronezh

13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
01.10Dyn. Altay4:2

Head to head

24.12.2025Dizel — Buran Voronezh6:3
22.11.2025Buran Voronezh — Dizel1:3
13.01.2025Buran Voronezh — Dizel2:3
09.11.2024Dizel — Buran Voronezh3:1
02.02.2024Buran Voronezh — Dizel3:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs	Almetyevsk	15	11	0	4	44–30	+14	22
2, Playoffs	Buran Voronezh	14	10	2	2	31–22	+9	22
3, Playoffs	Omskie Krylia	13	10	0	3	37–19	+18	20
21	HC Yugra	12	6	0	6	20–18	+2	12
22	Dizel	13	5	2	6	29–31	-2	12
23	Dyn. Altay	12	5	2	5	25–30	-5	12

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

11:00
Magnitka MagnitogorskHC Norilskpreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
16:30
OrskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
18:30
AlmetyevskCSK VVSpreliminary
7426
1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →