VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Almetyevsk — CSK VVS

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Model prediction for 21 October

Almetyevsk62%
Draw in regulation19%
CSK VVS19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Almetyevsk are clear favourites: 74% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Almetyevsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Almetyevsk — CSK VVS3.3–2.0
Almetyevsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)74%
CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout)26%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Almetyevsk
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Form

Almetyevsk

  • 12.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2
  • 10.10Zvezda Moscow3:5
  • 08.10Khimik3:2
  • 04.10away · Gornyak2:1 SO
  • 02.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:4

CSK VVS

  • 12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
  • 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
  • 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
  • 06.10Khimik2:8
  • 02.10away · Gornyak2:5

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026CSK VVS — Almetyevsk2:6
  • 02.11.2025Almetyevsk — CSK VVS2:3
  • 13.03.2025CSK VVS — Almetyevsk2:3 OT
  • 06.09.2024Almetyevsk — CSK VVS2:4
  • 01.02.2024CSK VVS — Almetyevsk0:1 SO

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk15110444–30+1422
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
26Kurgan1234519–33-1410
27CSK VVS16411131–56-259
28Izhevsk1332829–40-118

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →