NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators | 2.3–2.6 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Seattle Kraken2:3 SO
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
Head to head
- 09.10.2026Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 06.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators1:2 OT
- 08.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators2:3 OT
- 24.10.2025Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 13.04.2025Ottawa Senators — Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
NHL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- 34662The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.7
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →