NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars

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Model prediction for 18 October

Chicago Blackhawks25%
Draw in regulation22%
Dallas Stars53%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Dallas Stars are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Dallas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars2.1–3.0
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)33%
Dallas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)67%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4

Dallas Stars

  • 14.10Colorado Avalanche2:3
  • 11.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins1:2 SO
  • 09.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:0
  • 06.10San Jose Sharks5:0
  • 04.10away · Nashville Predators1:2

Head to head

  • 09.03.2026Dallas Stars — Chicago Blackhawks4:3 OT
  • 02.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars4:3
  • 28.12.2025Dallas Stars — Chicago Blackhawks3:4 SO
  • 30.12.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars1:5
  • 28.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars6:2

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
24New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →