NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers

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Model prediction for 18 October

Columbus Blue Jackets38%
Draw in regulation24%
New York Rangers38%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Close to a coin flip: Columbus Blue Jackets 49%, New York Rangers 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.

Facts

  • League table: Columbus Blue Jackets — No. 26, 4 pts; New York Rangers — No. 2, 12 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Columbus Blue Jackets 3 wins, New York Rangers 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers2.7–2.7
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

New York Rangers

  • 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
  • 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
  • 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
  • 07.10New York Islanders5:2
  • 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers6:3
  • 03.03.2026New York Rangers — Columbus Blue Jackets4:5 OT
  • 16.11.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers1:2 SO
  • 16.03.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers0:4
  • 10.03.2025New York Rangers — Columbus Blue Jackets3:7

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →