NHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Detroit Red Wings — San Jose Sharks

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Model prediction for 18 October

Detroit Red Wings47%
Draw in regulation23%
San Jose Sharks31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — San Jose Sharks3.0–2.5
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Detroit Red Wings

  • 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
  • 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
  • 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
  • 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
  • 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3

San Jose Sharks

  • 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT

Head to head

  • 17.01.2026Detroit Red Wings — San Jose Sharks4:2
  • 03.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Detroit Red Wings2:3 SO
  • 15.01.2025Detroit Red Wings — San Jose Sharks3:6
  • 19.11.2024San Jose Sharks — Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
  • 03.01.2024San Jose Sharks — Detroit Red Wings3:5

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →