NHL · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Pittsburgh Penguins 49%, Utah Mammoth 51% including overtime.
6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: Pittsburgh Penguins — No. 15, 7 pts; Utah Mammoth — No. 7, 10 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Pittsburgh Penguins 2 wins, Utah Mammoth 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth | 3.0–3.0 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pittsburgh Penguins
- Pittsburgh Penguins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins3:4
- 14.12.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
- 30.01.2025Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins2:3 OT
- 24.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth1:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Carolina HurricanesColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Tampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Detroit Red WingsChicago Blackhawkspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Dallas StarsMontreal Canadienspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Minnesota WildNew York Islanderspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Nashville PredatorsWashington Capitalspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- St. Louis BluesBoston Bruinspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- Anaheim DucksBuffalo Sabrespreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:56.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →