Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Plzen — Kladno

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Model prediction for 1 November

Plzen50%
Draw in regulation22%
Kladno27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Plzen are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Plzen — No. 4, 16 pts; Kladno — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Plzen 4 wins, Kladno 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Plzen — Kladno2.5–1.9
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Kladno to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

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Form

Plzen

  • 11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
  • 08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
  • 04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
  • 02.10away · Pardubice2:4
  • 29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1

Kladno

  • 11.10away · Karlovy Vary1:3
  • 09.10Mlada Boleslav4:3
  • 04.10away · Litvinov3:2 OT
  • 02.10Mountfield HK3:4 SO
  • 29.09away · Trinec4:6

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Kladno — Plzen3:4 OT
  • 29.01.2026Kladno — Plzen4:1
  • 26.12.2025Plzen — Kladno3:0
  • 02.11.2025Kladno — Plzen1:2
  • 26.09.2025Plzen — Kladno3:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary9600322–16+618
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPlzen10331325–22+316
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK10420428–26+216
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSparta Prague10402431–28+314

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →