AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Providence Bruins — Utica Comets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Providence Bruins are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- League table: Providence Bruins — No. 30, 2 pts; Utica Comets — No. 1, 6 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Utica Comets: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Providence Bruins 2 wins, Utica Comets 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Providence Bruins — Utica Comets | 2.7–2.3 | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Providence Bruins
- Providence Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers6:2
- 10.10Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 03.10Utica Comets1:2
- 12.10away · Belleville Senators4:2
- 11.10Rochester Americans2:1
- 03.10away · Providence Bruins2:1
- 19.04away · Providence Bruins4:2
- 18.04Providence Bruins4:1
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Providence Bruins — Utica Comets1:2
- 19.04.2026Providence Bruins — Utica Comets2:4
- 18.04.2026Utica Comets — Providence Bruins4:1
- 02.04.2026Utica Comets — Providence Bruins2:3 SO
- 22.03.2026Providence Bruins — Utica Comets5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utica Comets | 3 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 2 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.000 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
AHL on the same day
- Charlotte CheckersSpringfield Thunderbirdspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
- Wilkes-Barre/ScrantonHartford Wolf Packpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Grand Rapids GriffinsCleveland Monsterspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Hershey BearsBelleville Senatorspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Iowa WildManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsSyracuse Crunchpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Abbotsford CanucksCalgary Wranglerspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.7
- Chicago WolvesMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →