AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Rockford IceHogs — Texas Stars

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Model prediction for 2 November

Rockford IceHogs35%
Draw in regulation21%
Texas Stars44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Texas Stars are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Texas Stars are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rockford IceHogs — Texas Stars2.7–3.0
Rockford IceHogs to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Rockford IceHogs

  • 11.10away · Iowa Wild3:4
  • 10.10away · Iowa Wild2:1
  • 04.10Milwaukee Admirals1:3
  • 19.04away · Texas Stars1:5
  • 18.04away · Texas Stars1:6

Texas Stars

  • 12.10away · Hershey Bears1:6
  • 11.10away · Hershey Bears1:2
  • 04.10Iowa Wild3:4 SO
  • 03.10Iowa Wild4:3 SO
  • 06.05away · Chicago Wolves1:6

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Texas Stars — Rockford IceHogs5:1
  • 18.04.2026Texas Stars — Rockford IceHogs6:1
  • 24.01.2026Rockford IceHogs — Texas Stars0:5
  • 28.12.2025Rockford IceHogs — Texas Stars8:4
  • 23.11.2025Texas Stars — Rockford IceHogs5:2

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375
26Rockford IceHogs31026–8-22.333
27Henderson Silver Knights31025–8-32.333

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →