AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

San Diego Gulls — Colorado Eagles

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Model prediction for 2 November

San Diego Gulls32%
Draw in regulation21%
Colorado Eagles47%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Colorado Eagles are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Colorado Eagles are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: San Diego Gulls — No. 15, 5 pts; Colorado Eagles — No. 6, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Diego Gulls 2 wins, Colorado Eagles 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — Colorado Eagles2.5–3.0
San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Colorado Eagles to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

San Diego Gulls

  • 11.10Henderson Silver Knights2:0
  • 10.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds3:6
  • 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
  • 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
  • 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6

Colorado Eagles

  • 11.10Abbotsford Canucks3:4
  • 10.10Abbotsford Canucks4:3 SO
  • 05.10away · Tucson Roadrunners5:3
  • 04.10away · Tucson Roadrunners2:0
  • 09.06Chicago Wolves3:4

Head to head

  • 25.04.2026Colorado Eagles — San Diego Gulls6:1
  • 23.04.2026Colorado Eagles — San Diego Gulls3:0
  • 19.03.2026Colorado Eagles — San Diego Gulls5:1
  • 18.03.2026Colorado Eagles — San Diego Gulls5:6 SO
  • 15.03.2026San Diego Gulls — Colorado Eagles2:1

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
7Toronto Marlies430116–12+46.750
14Rochester Americans421113–7+65.625
15San Diego Gulls421114–12+25.625
16Iowa Wild421112–1205.625

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →