AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers

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Model prediction for 2 November

Iowa Wild24%
Draw in regulation20%
Charlotte Checkers57%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Charlotte Checkers are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Charlotte Checkers are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers2.2–3.2
Iowa Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout)31%
Charlotte Checkers to win (incl. OT and shootout)69%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Iowa Wild goals
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Form

Iowa Wild

  • 11.10Rockford IceHogs4:3
  • 10.10Rockford IceHogs1:2
  • 04.10away · Texas Stars4:3 SO
  • 03.10away · Texas Stars3:4 SO
  • 19.04Manitoba Moose1:6

Charlotte Checkers

  • 11.10away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:1 SO
  • 11.10away · Providence Bruins2:6
  • 04.10away · Hershey Bears2:3
  • 04.10away · Hershey Bears5:2
  • 26.04Springfield Thunderbirds1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 16.11.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers0:2
  • 15.11.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers3:4
  • 19.10.2025Charlotte Checkers — Iowa Wild4:1
  • 18.10.2025Charlotte Checkers — Iowa Wild6:2
  • 29.01.2025Iowa Wild — Charlotte Checkers2:4

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
15San Diego Gulls421114–12+25.625
16Iowa Wild421112–1205.625
17Springfield Thunderbirds42118–9-15.625
20Bakersfield Condors420212–11+14.500
21Charlotte Checkers420211–12-14.500
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →