AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

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Model prediction for 2 November

Hershey Bears35%
Draw in regulation21%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • Wilkes-Barre/Scranton are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2.6–2.9
Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Hershey Bears

  • 12.10Texas Stars6:1
  • 11.10Texas Stars2:1
  • 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
  • 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
  • 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton

  • 11.10away · Providence Bruins6:2
  • 11.10away · Hartford Wolf Pack7:1
  • 05.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:3
  • 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
  • 08.06Toronto Marlies1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 08.05.2026Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
  • 06.05.2026Hershey Bears — Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:4 OT
  • 03.05.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hershey Bears1:2
  • 01.05.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hershey Bears4:2
  • 16.04.2026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton — Hershey Bears1:5

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
7Toronto Marlies430116–12+46.750
8Hershey Bears430113–9+46.750
9Cleveland Monsters430117–15+26.750
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
13Wilkes-Barre/Scranton421117–9+85.625
14Rochester Americans421113–7+65.625

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →