DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Schwenninger — Eisbaren Berlin

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Model prediction for 25 October

Schwenninger28%
Draw in regulation21%
Eisbaren Berlin51%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Eisbaren Berlin are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.

Why

  • Eisbaren Berlin are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Schwenninger — Eisbaren Berlin2.4–3.1
Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Eisbaren Berlin to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)53%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Schwenninger
  • Schwenninger goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Schwenninger

  • 11.10Munchen3:4
  • 09.10away · Kolner4:1
  • 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
  • 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5

Eisbaren Berlin

  • 11.10away · Bremerhaven3:0
  • 09.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:0
  • 04.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:1
  • 02.10away · Frankfurt Lowen2:0
  • 27.09Iserlohn Roosters4:0

Head to head

  • 15.01.2026Schwenninger — Eisbaren Berlin3:5
  • 14.12.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Schwenninger2:0
  • 31.10.2025Schwenninger — Eisbaren Berlin3:4 OT
  • 28.09.2025Eisbaren Berlin — Schwenninger1:2
  • 04.03.2025Schwenninger — Eisbaren Berlin3:6

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →