DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Frankfurt Lowen — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction for 25 October

Frankfurt Lowen38%
Draw in regulation22%
Grizzly Wolfsburg41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Frankfurt Lowen 48%, Grizzly Wolfsburg 52% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Frankfurt Lowen — Grizzly Wolfsburg2.6–2.7
Frankfurt Lowen to win (incl. OT and shootout)48%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)52%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Frankfurt Lowen
  • Frankfurt Lowen goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Frankfurt Lowen

  • 11.10away · ERC Ingolstadt3:2 SO
  • 08.10Krefeld Pinguine2:5
  • 04.10away · Bremerhaven1:2
  • 02.10Eisbaren Berlin0:2
  • 27.09away · Munchen4:1

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 11.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3 OT
  • 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
  • 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
  • 27.09Bremerhaven3:2

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Frankfurt Lowen — Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 11.01.2026Grizzly Wolfsburg — Frankfurt Lowen5:2
  • 05.12.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Frankfurt Lowen4:1
  • 12.09.2025Frankfurt Lowen — Grizzly Wolfsburg1:9
  • 28.01.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Frankfurt Lowen1:7

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19
11ERC Ingolstadt8211421–28-79

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →